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MALTATODAY 6 October 2019

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12 maltatoday | SUNDAY • 6 OCTOBER 2019 MaltaToday Trust Barometer 6 October 2019 Between Adrian Delia and Joseph Muscat whom do you trust most? Joseph Muscat Adrian Delia Neither Don't know 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 54.1% 16.7% 26.0% 6 October 2019 pp change 7 July 2019 Trust barometer among different categories of voters ALL PL PN Did not vote Male Female 18-35 36-50 51-65 65+ Primary Secondary Post-Sec Tertiary Gozo Northern Northern Harbour South Eastern Southern Harbour Western 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 54.1% 16.7% 26.0% 93.6% 12.7% 41.2% 42.2% 20.0% 64.6% 12.3% 54.1% 12.0% 30.0% 54.1% 20.5% 22.7% 45.7% 7.7% 42.1% 59.9% 12.3% 25.4% 59.7% 21.1% 15.6% 51.4% 26.1% 20.2% 54.9% 29.0% 15.3% 51.6% 9.0% 36.4% 61.6% 16.9% 17.9% 41.0% 12.6% 41.7% 52.1% 20.1% 20.1% 7.6% 50.3% 11.3% 34.4% 48.8% 18.0% 30.8% 75.5% 10.0% 9.8% 56.8% 20.1% 20.9% 43.8% 21.6% 32.3% Joseph Muscat Adrian Delia Trust neither Don't know MaltaToday Trust Barometer 6 October 2019 Between Adrian Delia and Joseph Muscat whom do you trust most? Joseph Muscat Adrian Delia Neither Don't know 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 54.1% 16.7% 26.0% 6 October 2019 pp change 7 July 2019 Trust barometer among different categories of voters ALL PL PN Did not vote Male Female 18-35 36-50 51-65 65+ Primary Secondary Post-Sec Tertiary Gozo Northern Northern Harbour South Eastern Southern Harbour Western 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 54.1% 16.7% 26.0% 93.6% 12.7% 41.2% 42.2% 20.0% 64.6% 12.3% 54.1% 12.0% 30.0% 54.1% 20.5% 22.7% 45.7% 7.7% 42.1% 59.9% 12.3% 25.4% 59.7% 21.1% 15.6% 51.4% 26.1% 20.2% 54.9% 29.0% 15.3% 51.6% 9.0% 36.4% 61.6% 16.9% 17.9% 41.0% 12.6% 41.7% 52.1% 20.1% 20.1% 7.6% 50.3% 11.3% 34.4% 48.8% 18.0% 30.8% 75.5% 10.0% 9.8% 56.8% 20.1% 20.9% 43.8% 21.6% 32.3% Joseph Muscat Adrian Delia Trust neither Don't know MALTATODAY SURVEY Delia running on the spot THE Labour Party enjoys a 22-point lead over the Nationalist Party in the first MaltaToday poll since the May European Parliament election. Support for the PL is running at 45.3%, while the PN is polling at 23.3%. Altern- attiva Demokratika and the Democratic Party have a combined support of 1.5%. There are 15.1% of voters who will not vote if an election is held tomorrow, while 14% are uncertain who to vote for. The PL lead is the biggest since No- vember last year, when a MaltaToday survey recorded a gap of almost 28 points. It is also substantially higher than the European Parliament election five months ago when the PL ended up 16 points ahead of its rival. The result is in line with the findings of a similar survey carried out by It-Torċa two weeks ago. The PL polls ahead of the PN among men and women, across all age groups and all regions. The biggest support for the PL is in the South-Eastern region, which also repre- sents the largest gap between the major parties. In the South-East, the PL is poll- ing at 69.8%, against the PN's 10%. The parties are the closest in the West- ern region, where the PL leads with 27% against the PN's 24.8%. In Gozo, once a PN bulwark, the PL is polling at 38.8%, while the PN is running at 33.6%. PN still losing votes to PL When the findings are cross-refer- enced with how people voted in the last general election, the survey shows that the PN is finding it hard to retain its own voter base. Of those who voted PN in 2017, 57.8% will vote again for their party if an elec- tion is held tomorrow. This contrasts with the 84.9% of PL voters in 2017, who are willing to reconfirm their support. But the bad news for the PN does not end there. The survey shows that 15.7% of PN 2017 voters will not vote, 18.6% are uncertain, and 3.9% will shift their vote to the PL. The equivalent results for the PL show that 6.1% will not vote, 8.7% are uncer- tain, and less than half a percentage will shift to the PN. The survey shows that the PN is still haemorrhaging votes to the PL, a trend that has not abated since the 2017 gen- eral election. KURT SANSONE ADRIAN Delia has failed to boost his trust rating among the wider elector- ate despite winning a vote of confidence among Nationalist Party councillors, a MaltaToday survey shows. The results of the October survey re- leased today show that Delia's trust rat- ing runs at 16.7%, a mere percentage point improvement over the result ob- tained in the July survey. Prime Minister Joseph Muscat's trust rating stands at 54.1%. The Opposition leader continues to be hampered by a large chunk of National- ist Party voters who trust no one, and a significant group who trust Muscat. Among those who voted PN in the last general election, Delia only manages a trust rating of 41.2%. An almost equal amount of PN voters (42.2%) trust nei- ther Delia nor Muscat, and 12.8% trust the Prime Minister. Last July, Delia won a vote of confi- dence among PN councillors but the ex- ercise exposed the internal rift over his leadership, with 32% voting against him. Just before the PN vote, a MaltaToday survey had established Delia's trust rat- ing among the wider electorate at 15.8%. Things do not appear to have gotten better for Delia, who had to contend with the resignation of the PN's treas- urer last week, and a very poor turnout for the party's downscaled Independ- ence Day celebrations that moved away from the Granaries. Delia trails Muscat among men and women, across all age groups, and re- gions. The trust gap between the two lead- ers has now widened to just above 37 points. The PN leader's woes find their flipside in Muscat's trust rating, which stands at 54.1%, an increase of almost two points over July. The Prime Minister enjoys equal trust among men and women, each 54.1%, and soars to 59.9% among those aged between 36 and 50. On a regional basis, Muscat's highest trust rating is in the South-East, where he manages 75.5%, followed by the Southern Harbour region (56.8%). In Gozo, Muscat registers a trust rating of 52.1%. The young Trust is hardest to come by in the age group between 18 and 35, where 42.1% say they trust none of the two major party leaders. This is the age group with the highest lack of trust, more than double those in the 65+ age group. However, Muscat is leaps and bounds ahead of Delia. The Prime Minister reg- isters a trust rating of 45.7%, against De- lia's dismal 7.7%. These figures represent the worst result for both leaders across the age groups. Joseph Muscat's trust rating soars as the Nationalist Party leader fails to impress despite winning a vote of confidence Labour leads PN by 22 pts

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