Issue link: https://maltatoday.uberflip.com/i/1200489
10 maltatoday | WEDNESDAY • 15 JANUARY 2020 OPINION I shall have to admit to be- ing somewhat disappointed – though not exactly surprised – by Robert Abela's win over Chris Fearne last weekend. Not so much because I had particularly high hopes for the latter's leadership; but Chris Fearne did at least have one significant advantage over his rival. His name. From a purely PR angle, it's a goldmine. Just think of all the possibilities for headlines/slo- gans that will now go to waste forever: 'Fear not: Fearne is here!'; 'All is Fearne in love and war'… 'Where angels Fearne to tread…' and of course, what would be an obvious election slogan to any self-respecting campaign manager: 'We have nothing to fear, but Fearne him- self!' Erm… wait, no, that wouldn't do at all. But still, you get the point. 'Chris Fearne' has a cer- tain ring to it. It possesses both instant aplomb, and also an in- built alliterative adaptability to almost any circumstance imag- inable (in other words, I could have had 'Fearne' with it for years…) Robert Abela, on the other hand… why, that could be al- most anyone I ever shared a desk with at school. Call that name out loud on a busy street, anywhere in Malta, and I reck- on at least 25 men (mostly law- yers… and yes, maybe a couple of former bodybuilders, too) would probably answer the summons. Besides: you try coining a catchy slogan around that sur- name. I've been racking my brains at it all morning… and so far, 'I've-a notta beena Abe- la' to come up with anything at all (at least, nothing that doesn't sound like Diego Abbatantuono in an episode of 'Mind Your Language'…) But that, I fear, is how politics tends to work in this country. When electing our leaders, we always seem to get side-tracked by such trivial considerations as what the candidates represent, or what they propose to actu- ally do if elected. We never at- tach any importance to the only thing that truly matters: i.e., their marketability, on the local and international circuit. Mind you: this also explains my lack of surprise at the out- come. For what did either can- didate actually represent, at the end of the day? Chris Fearne positioned himself as a harbin- ger of 'change'; Robert Abela, as the 'continuity' candidate. And the decision was ulti- mately taken by a political party that had (or felt it had) no rea- son to even consider 'changing' for more than half a second. Why change a winning horse, anyway? Love him or hate him – and those seem to be the on- ly two options: both taken to incredible extremes – Joseph Muscat brought about 10 con- secutive electoral victories for the Labour Party: at general, lo- cal council and European levels. So it was all along unlikely that victory would go to a can- didate who promised to shake up the very foundations of that extraordinary, unprecedented electoral record… and above all, whose campaign seemed more geared towards appeasing the Opposition, in what is now a total, no-holds-barred political war. And yet, had the option been available, we all know that the overwhelming majority would have voted to retain Joseph Muscat in spite of everything. So in the end, they voted for the next best thing. Robert Abela: whose only campaign strategy was to sim- ply pretend that there wasn't even a leadership contest in the first place… that Joseph Muscat's fall from grace was all along just an illusion; and that things could just go back to ex- actly where they left off a cou- ple months ago… as if nothing of any real importance has even happened since then. And I must concede that Rob- ert Abela has already deliv- ered spectacularly well on this promise of continuity. I closed my eyes at one point during his inaugural speech last Sunday… and it could just as easily have been Joseph Muscat I heard talking: the same tone of voice, the same style of delivery, the same keenness to reassure all the business community that… hey, don't worry! We won't let all this 'good governance' pa- laver get in the way of more important things in life… all the way down to the same old 'inhobbkom' soundbite: which was a straight echo of Muscat's own inaugural speech as Labour leader, way back in 2008. But while all that evidently worked wonders, with an audi- ence of ecstatic Labour support- ers who really wanted nothing more than for Joseph Muscat to stay on anyway… it might sit uneasily with the main thrust of Robert Abela's own leadership campaign. For Abela did not merely promise 'continuity' of Joseph Muscat's economic or social policies; he also promised 'con- tinuity' of Labour's recent trend of winning elections with un- precedented national majori- ties. And to deliver on that prom- ise, Abela will have to somehow build on Joseph Muscat's other, earlier political achievement: his ability to convince non-La- bour voters to overcome their natural distrust of that party, and to vote for it 10 times on the trot. Ironically, Muscat's success in this department also hinged on his own, pre-2013 promise of 'change'… which was not limit- ed only to civil liberties (some- thing Robert Abela has so far not alluded to at all), but also to issues of good governance. The experience of the past few months has brought home how little of this change has actually materialised in the past seven years. Unlike the situation with gay rights or marriage equality, all those other promises of 'trans- parency, accountability and meritocracy' remain woefully unfulfilled… which also means that part of what made Joseph Muscat such an attractive op- tion for first-time Labour vot- ers, in both 2013 and 2017, is now no longer such a bankable commodity for the Labour Par- ty. Even before Muscat's resigna- tion, it was debatable whether he could continue relying on his past surplus of votes until the next election. Surveys had already begun to show a de- cline – evidence that the recent scandals had eaten into the PL's previously unstoppable elector- al advantage – and therefore, by extension, 'continuity' from Jo- seph Muscat also implies con- tinuity of this very decline in support. One of the most challenging tasks Abela will find himself facing, then, will be to some- how win those disillusioned supporters back before the next election; to convince them that the 'alliance of progressives and moderates' – a slogan which in itself suggests change – would still be worth voting for in 2020. Can he realistically do this by sticking doggedly to a 'continu- ity' programme… when part of what he promises to 'continue' also includes what may have meanwhile pushed many of those voters away from Labour in disgust? Obviously, it's too early to tell… but then again, Robert Abela has so far not uttered a single word that can be inter- preted as 'reassurance' to this particular category of voter (of the kind that he was only too happy to give to business- men, hunters, trappers, etc: you know, all the categories which would probably end up voting Labour anyway). To date, he has barely ac- knowledged that any govern- ance problems even exist… still less committed himself to solve them. So it remains to be seen how Robert Abela intends to appeal to all who were once se- duced by Muscat's promises of 'fairness' in the distribution of wealth – the ones who turned Labour's otherwise wafer-thin majority into an insurmount- able electoral surplus – when not even Muscat himself was managing to keep up the mo- mentum. But 'continuity' may prove a difficult promise to keep for other reasons. By so casually glossing over the need for insti- tutional reform, Robert Abela is unlikely to win any admir- ers in all the international fora that have been busy lambasting Malta's institutions over the past few years: the European Parliament, the Council of Eu- rope, GRECO, the international press, etc. To continue with the Joseph Muscat approach is also to con- tinue with policies that have earned Malta rebuke from all those quarters, and more. It will only intensify the pressure on Abela's government to im- plement (inter alia) the recom- mendations of the Venice Com- mission… and above all, to take action against the public figures who have been outed as corrupt over the Electrogas deal. The sight of Robert Abela em- bracing Konrad Mizzi at last Sunday's event - and the rous- ing applause with which it was received - did little to encour- age any serious prospect of the latter. But to be fair, this is also the same Robert Abela who so ele- gantly described Keith Schem- bri as a 'kurnut' at a recent Cabinet meeting… so you never know: some 'change' may be on the horizon after all. Either way, my guess is that Robert Abela will soon realise that his own promise of 'conti- nuity' is at odds with his com- mitment to rebuild the lost con- fidence in Labour; and that – if he also intends to 'continue' his party's past string of electoral successes – he will have to do more than just put on a faithful (and eerily accurate) imperson- ation of Joseph Muscat. Raphael Vassallo 'Continuity' works both ways