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maltatoday | SUNDAY • 20 MARCH 2022 10 NEWS ELECTION 2022 Trust Barometer and Political Survey Robert Abela Bernard Grech Neither Don't know 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 43.8% 30.6% 19.7% 5.9% 20 Mar 2022 pp change 13 Mar 2022 Between Robert Abela and Bernard Grech, who do you trust the most? Full demographics comparing trust between Abela and Grech 20-Mar-22 13-Mar-22 6-Mar-22 27-Feb-22 6-Feb-22 Overall PL Now PN Now Will not vote now Uncertain New Voter PL 2017 PN 2017 Didn't vote 2017 Male Female 16-35 36-50 51-65 65+ Primary Secondary Post-Sec Tertiary Gozo Northern N Harbour S Eastern S Harbour Western 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 43.8% 30.6% 19.7% 97.7% 91.2% 12.1% 76.3% 7.8% 24.6% 11.9% 46.6% 16.9% 33.6% 21.6% 25.5% 19.3% 81.9% 11.0% 70.1% 18.4% 13.2% 13.7% 61.8% 11.3% 45.4% 30.0% 19.4% 42.2% 31.3% 19.9% 6.6% 37.2% 27.0% 26.8% 9.1% 40.6% 25.1% 28.2% 6.1% 49.1% 31.6% 14.7% 49.3% 38.7% 8.5% 56.0% 33.7% 7.8% 52.7% 26.6% 15.6% 42.0% 30.2% 21.7% 6.1% 29.4% 34.5% 28.1% 8.0% 44.7% 28.2% 18.1% 8.9% 33.4% 35.6% 21.4% 9.6% 38.0% 38.7% 18.2% 57.3% 15.8% 22.6% 58.3% 24.9% 14.1% 35.9% 35.5% 22.1% 6.6% Robert Abela Bernard Grech None Do not know Which political party would you vote for if an election were to be held tomorrow? 'New Voter' category introduced in this survey KURT SANSONE BERNARD Grech's trust rating increased by one point to 30.6% at the end of the electoral campaign's fourth week but still trails Robert Abela by 13 points. Abela's trust rating stands at 43.8% in Mal- taToday's rolling survey, with the Labour leader beating his rival across all age groups, among men and women and in four of six regions. The survey has been building up its sam- ple size on a daily basis, ensuring that daily polling reflects the country's demographics and past voting patterns. By Friday at 8pm, 2,471 people were polled since Monday, 21 February. Middle-aged and pensioners are a driving force Abela's strongest performance is among middle-aged voters and pensioners, where he is trusted by 49.1% and 49.3% respective- ly. Grech's strongest performance is among pensioners where he scores 38.7%, followed by middle-aged voters at 31.6%. Among young voters aged between 16 and 35, the PL leader has a trust rating of 37.2% as opposed to Grech's 27%. Withing this age group, the Nationalist Party leader has made some gains over the past week. However, 26.8% of people in this age cohort trust no one. South-east remains Grech's bogeyman On a geographical basis, Grech has thin victories in the Northern and Northern Har- bour regions. In the Northern region, Grech scores 35.6% versus Abela's 33.4%, and in the Northern Harbour, the PN leader scores 38.7% against Abela's 38%. Elsewhere, Grech trails Abela with the most significant margins recorded in the south and east of the country. In the South-Eastern region, the PL leader enjoys a trust rating of 57.3%, while Grech continues to register his worst performance at 15.8%. This region is composed of Żejtun, Birżeb- buġa, Gudja, Għaxaq, Kirkop, Marsaskala, Marsaxlokk, Mqabba, Qrendi, Safi and Żur- rieq, which correspond to the 3rd and 5th electoral districts that are Labour strong- holds. In the Southern Harbour region, Abe- la scores his best performance at 58.3% against Grech's 24.9%. This region is made up of Valletta, Vittoriosa, Isla, Bormla, Żab- bar, Fgura, Floriana, Kalkara, Luqa, Marsa, Paola, St Luċija, Tarxien and Xgħajra. This region largely conforms to the 2nd and 4th electoral districts, which are also Labour strongholds. In Gozo, Abela enjoys the trust of 44.7% against Grech's 28.2%. In the Western region, Abela has a slim ad- vantage with 35.9% against Grech's 35.5%. Among those who are saying they will vote PL in the 26 March election, Abela enjoys the trust of 97.7%, while Grech enjoys the trust of 91.2% of those who will vote PN. Again, 6% of prospective PN voters say they trust no one as opposed to 1.1% of pro- spective Labour voters. Methodology The survey is the cumulative data set car- ried out between Monday 21 February 2022 and Friday 18 March 2022. 2,471 respond- ents opted to complete the survey. Stratified random sampling based on region, age and gender was used to replicate the Maltese de- mographic. The estimated margin of error is 2% for a confidence interval of 95% for the overall results. Demographic and sub-group breakdowns have significantly larger mar- gins of error. Grech gains one trust point but still trails by 13