Issue link: https://maltatoday.uberflip.com/i/1462882
11 maltatoday | SUNDAY • 27 MARCH 2022 MALTATODAY SURVEY PN holds 7 District: 2017 PL (2017) 56.18% PN (2017) 42.03% AD 1.29% Others 0.50% 8 District: 2017 PL (2017) 45.45% PN (2017) 52.85% AD 1.20% Others 0.50% 9 District: 2017 PL (2017) 41.96% PN (2017) 56.24% AD 1.30% Others 0.50% 10th district: 2017 PL (2017) 38.06% PN (2017) 60.24% AD 1.20% Others 0.50% 11 District: 2017 PL (2017) 43.04% PN (2017) 55.26% AD 1.20% Others 0.50% 12 District: 2017 PL (2017) 47.50% PN (2017) 51.00% AD 0.90% Others 0.60% 13 District: 2017 PL (2017) 51.20% PN (2017) 47.80% AD 0.50% Others 0.50% PL frontunners PN frontrunners The rest Don't know 45.3% Don't know 51.7% The rest PN holds PN (2017) 56.24% 10th district: 2017 PL (2017) 38.06% PN (2017) 60.24% AD 1.20% Others 0.50% 11 District: 2017 PL (2017) 43.04% PN (2017) 55.26% AD 1.20% Others 0.50% 12 District: 2017 PL (2017) 47.50% PN (2017) 51.00% AD 0.90% Others 0.60% 13 District: 2017 PL (2017) 51.20% PN (2017) 47.80% AD 0.50% Others 0.50% PL frontunners PN frontrunners The rest Don't know 37.3% Don't know 23.4% The rest District 11 ŻAttard, Mosta, Mdina, St Paul's Bay (p/o – Burmarrad) District 12 MellieŻa, Naxxar (p/o), St Paul's Bay (p/o) ! Party leader contests here ! IN the last election, the PL elected two MPs from this district but with the difference in votes being very little, there is the possibility that the tables could turn. Much will de- pend on what happens in St Paul's Bay, which remains one of those electoral black holes given the di- versified population and traditional tendency for people to abstain. The PL is likely to elect Tourism Min- ister Clayton Bartolo and Elderly Minister Michael Farrugia but elec- tion newcomer Jonathan Attard could be the dark horse in the race. It appears that veteran MP Evarist Bartolo could lose his seat but this will also depend on how votes are inherited. Elected in 2017 Michael Farrugia (24th count) Evarist Bartolo (25th count) MELLIEHA duo Robert Cutajar and Ivan Castillo look set to clinch two of the PN's seats on the district. If the party manages to hold on to its third seat, this will be a likely battle between former St Paul's Bay mayor Graziella Galea, who was co-opted to parliament earlier this year, and MP Claudette Buttigieg. The last general election saw party leader Simon Busuttil contest on this district, which leaves more than 9,000 votes up for grabs. More than half the Nation- alist electorate was also unsure who to vote for as a first preference. Elected in 2017 Simon Busuttil (1st count) Robert Cutajar (27th count) Claudette Buttigieg (28th count) – David Thake (casual election) MOSTA-BOY Alex Muscat is like- ly to be the front runner in this dis- trict, where the PL is expected to elect two MPs. However, Miriam Dalli, who will be contesting her first gen- eral election, could pose a sig- nificant challenge. Tony Agius Decelis's performance cannot be underestimated either – he was the highest scoring Labour candi- date with 2,950 first count votes in the 2017 general election – but the survey suggests he may be leapfrogged by Muscat and Dalli. It has to be seen whether any of the PL candidates manages to garner enough votes to get elect- ed on the first count but if the previous election is anything to go by, the probability is that a lot will hinge on how votes are trans- ferred between counts. Elected in 2017 Tony Agius Decelis (23rd count) Alex Muscat (23rd count) THIS is a district skewed by the pres- ence of the PN leader who is expected to hoover up the bulk of number one votes. Bernard Grech will follow in the steps of former PN leader Simon Busut- til who in the last election collected 11,266 votes in the first count, which left more than 7,000 surplus votes to be distributed. The question voters would have an- swered is whether they should opt for newcomers like Rebekah Cilia and Jo- seph Grech instead of David Agius and Edwin Vassallo. However, Agius does have the advantage of being deputy leader and at the top of the list on the ballot sheet. Elected in 2017 Simon Busuttil (1st count) David Agius (16th count) Edwin Vassallo (22nd count) – Ivan Bartolo and Maria Deguara (casual elections) Alex Muscat MP 22.8% Miriam Dalli MP 17.2% Tony Agius Decelis MP 12.1% 1. Romilda Baldacchino Zarb 2. Michael Farrugia MP 1. Rebekah Cilia 2. Joseph Grech 3. David Agius MP 4. Alex Perici Calascione 5. Edwin Vassallo MP 6. Ivan Bartolo MP Bernard Grech Opposition leader 56.8% Clayton Bartolo MP 18.1% Michael Farrugia MP 16% 1. Jonathan Attard MP 2. Tony Agius Decelis MP 3. Evarist Bartolo MP 4. Romilda Baldacchino Zarb Robert Cutajar MP 16.8% Ivan Castillo 12% 1. Graziella Galea MP 2. Claudette Buttigieg MP 3. Ivan Bartolo 4. Maria Deguara MP