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retains 82.1%. The survey also shows that the per- centage of non-voters among PN voters decreasing from 19% in April to 10.5% now. Moreover, a regional breakdown suggests Labour is surg- ing in the two southern regions and winning in all other regions, except Gozo and the North Harbour. This suggests that Robert Abela's strategy of appealing to the party's hardcore in the past months has worked. The survey also shows Labour scoring an overall absolute majority (53.3%) for the second consecutive time since the European Parliament election in June last year. This is just 1.8 points short of the PL's 55.1% in the last general election. The share of third parties has in- creased slightly from 5.6% in April to 6.9% now. But the third-party vote re- mains fragmented between Momen- tum (3.1%), ADPD (1.6%) and other small parties (2.2%). Small shift to PN cancelled by shift to third parties Despite Labour's gains, the survey still shows a very small shift from the PL to the PN. While the PL loses 3.4% of its 2022 voters to the PN, the PN only loses 1.4% of its 2022 voters to the PL. But the PN also also loses more of its general election voters to third par- ties than the PL does. While the PL loses 2.7% of its 2022 voters to third parties, the PN loses 7.1% of its voters to small parties, particularly to Mo- mentum (2.9%). Crucially, while the PN retains 82.1% of its 2022 voters, the PL is now retaining 87.2%. And while the survey suggests re-entrenchment as both parties have increased their re- tention rate—the PL by 5 points and the PN by 4 points—from April, the survey suggests that the PN now has a greater abstention problem than the PL. In fact, while the PN loses 10.5% of its 2022 voters to abstention the PL loses 6.7%. Moreover, the PN's great- er losses to third parties suggest that the PN's attempts to galvanise its core voters could be alienating other seg- ments of PN voters. PL leads in four out of six districts The survey shows solid leads for the PL in the South Harbour and South Eastern regions and for the PN in Gozo and the North Harbour. The PL is also leading in the Western region and the Northern region. Labour has increased its lead in its heartlands in the South Harbour, which includes Cottonera. In this re- gion, support for the PL has surged from 37.5% in February to 56.2% in April to a staggering 60% now. The party's gains in this region reflect a seven-point drop in non-voters since April and a 14-point drop since Feb- ruary. Labour also leads the PN by a stag- gering 32.7 points in the South East- ern region, where support for the Opposition party drops to an abysmal 18.7%. The PL has also established a nar- rower lead in two traditionally PN leaning regions—the West, where it leads by 9.2 points and the North- ern region, where it leads by just 4.6 points. The PL's gains in the Northern re- gion are partly the result of a surge in the third-party vote. Nearly, 11% in this particular region intend to vote for a third party. The only two districts defying the trend are the populous and highly urbanised North Harbour, where the PN is now leading by 5.9 points and even more clearly so in Gozo, where the PN is leads by 19.4 points. The highest percentage of non-vot- ers (26.6%) is found in the Northern and the South Eastern regions PL leads by 16 points among 36 to 50 year olds The survey shows Labour leading in all age groups but the gap between the parties is greatest among 36 to 50 year olds, where the PL leads by 16.3 mt SURVEY SUNDAY • 8 JUNE 2025 | maltatoday 6 > FROM PREVIOUS PAGE Age Gender Region Education 2022 Voters 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0 PL 2022 PN 2022 No vote 2022 87.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 1.2% 6.7% 1.4% 82.1% 2.9% 1.7% 1.5% 10.5% 16% 5.2% 2% 0.6% 1.2% 75% PL PN Momentum ADPD Other Will not vote Current voters 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 96.2% 72.2% Trust Barometer All Voters Robert Abela Bernard Grech None 0 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 50% 18.8% 31.2% All Voters April 2025 maltatoday PL 53.3% ADPD 1.6% Momentum 3.1% PN 39.7% Others 2.2% Age Gender Region Education 2022 Voters 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0 16-35 36-50 51-65 65+ PL PN Momentum ADPD Other Will not vote Voting Intentions Trust Barometer All Voters Robert Abela Bernard Grech 50% 18.8% Polling and market research since 2002 SURVEY April 2025 Voting intention of 2022 voters Voting intention by age