Issue link: https://maltatoday.uberflip.com/i/1540090
of Labour voters in 2022 will now vote for the PN, the PN is losing a smaller percentage (5.6%) of its voters to the PL. However, these gains by the PN are partly offset by greater losses to third parties. While the PL only loses 1.2% of its 2022 support to third par- ties the PN loses 3.1% of its voters to smaller parties. More significantly for the PN is the higher percentage of non-voters in the 2022 election who are now choos- ing the PN. While 19.8% of this co- hort now choose the PN, only 5.6% are opting for Labour. This suggests that under the new leader the PN is attracting more former voters who abstained in 2022. When taking into account of the dif- ferent shifts from one party or cate- gory to the other, it is the increase in abstention among PL voters and the PN's gains among non-voters in 2022 which best explains the decrease in support for the ruling party. PN leads in three regions out of six The survey shows solid leads for the PL in the South Harbour (15.3 points) and South Eastern regions (18.6 points) and by a smaller margin in the Western region (2.8 points). On the other hand the PN is leading by smaller margins in the Northern (7.5 points) and North Harbour (1.4 points) and by a substantial margin in Gozo (18.4 points). If confirmed in future surveys the PN's gains in the thirteenth district under its new Gozitan leader are particularly significant in view of La- bour's post 2013 gains. The survey also shows Gozo reporting the lowest abstention rate (10.6%) and the high- est vote for third parties (7.1%). Results for regional breakdowns are only indicative due to the substantial- ly higher margin of error. PN leads among younger voters For the first time in the past years the survey shows the PN leading by a substantial 8-point margin among 16- to 35-year-olds. But the PL still leads the PN by an equally substantial point margin among 36- to 50-year- olds and by an even greater 18.4-point margin among pensioners. But the parties are practically neck and neck among those aged between 51 and 65. The survey still shows a higher a b s t e n t i o n rate among y o u n g - er vot- ers; 24.5% among 16- to 35-year- olds and 2 5 . 5 % among 36- to 50-year-olds. PN breaks new ground among post-secondary The parties are head-to-head among female voters, while the PL leads by four points among men. The survey also shows a higher abstention rate among males (20.4%) compared to that among women (16.4%). The survey also suggests that the PN has started making inroads among the post-secondary educated. This is a category which includes respond- ents who followed a post-second- ary education but have not attended university. The PN is now leading by 11.2 points. This category has leaned towards Labour in most surveys held by MaltaToday in the past decade. However, it has to be seen whether this is the start of a new trend or just a momentary blip. The survey also shows the PN enjoy- ing a substantial 16-point lead among the tertiary educated which tradition- ally leans towards the PN. Labour still leads by a substantial 21.5-point margin among respond- ents with a secondary education, a result which suggests that PN inroads among working class respondents re- main limited. mt SURVEY SUNDAY • 5 OCTOBER 2025 | maltatoday 8 << CONTINUES FROM PREVIOUS PAGE Age Gender Region Education 2022 Voters 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0 16-35 36-50 51-65 65+ PL PN Momentum ADPD OtPer Will not vote Age 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 52.3% Trust Barometer All Voters Robert Abela Alex Borg None 0 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 46.6% 34.1% 19.4% All Voters June 2025 Voters based on age PL 48.8% ADPD 2.5% Momentum 2.0% PN 45.8% Others 1.0% Age Gender Region Education 2022 Voters 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0 Primary Secondary Post-secondary Tertiary PL PN Momentum ADPD OtPer Will not vote Voting Intentions Trust Barometer All Voters Robert Abela Alex Borg 46.6% 34.1% June 2025 Voters based on education