Issue link: https://maltatoday.uberflip.com/i/1545087
THE Labour Party leads the Nationalist Party by 6.4 points a few days before polling day, MaltaToday's final election survey shows. The gap is similar to that recorded in the first Malta- Today survey at the start of the campaign but substan- tially higher than that re- corded in March. The survey also shows the PL winning an absolute majority of 50.6%, up from 50.1% in the first elector- al survey. The PN trails at 44.2% up from 43.8%, while third parties get 5.2% down from 6.1%. The changes are statistically insignificant as they fall within the margin of error of both surveys. The current scenario indi- cates that the gap between the two major parties can range between 12,600 votes and 28,800 votes, depend- ing on the statistical model used, with the mean gap set at around 18,000 votes. However, the projected margin of victory for the PL at this stage is less dramatic than its 2022 election victo- ry when it obtained 55.1% of the vote. The results come from a survey of 1,382 respond- ents contacted over the past two weeks. The survey has a margin of error of +/-2.6 points. Compared to the previ- ous survey, the percentage of non-voters has dropped slightly from 22.7% to 20.8%. The percentage of PL voters in 2022 now intent on not voting has remained stable at 11%. Meanwhile, the per- centage of PN voters now intent on not voting has dropped from 15% to just 6%. Small shift to PN The survey also confirms a small shift from the PL to the PN but one that is not big enough to explain the drop in Labour's support. The PL's support level, on the other hand, is signifi- cantly impacted by the lower turnout among its own vot- ers. The survey shows a shift of 4.4% of 2022 PL voters, some 7,159, to the PN when compared to 3% of 2022 PN voters, some 3,697, who are now voting Labour. This results in a net shift of just 3,462 votes from the PL to the PN. THE ALL-NEW B10 STARTING FROM €20,900* (*2025 GOVERNMENT GRANTS AND SCRAPPAGE SCHEME INCLUDED. TERMS AND CONDITIONS APPLY). Labour leads by six points JAMES DEBONO jdebono@mediatoday.com.mt PL 50.6% Others 5.2% PN 44.2% Age Gender Region Education 2022 Voters 110.0% 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0 37% 28.3% 7.8% 26.9% 36.7% 34% 4.2% 25.1% 42.6% 34.9% 3.2% 19.2% 43.7% 41.7% 1.6% 13.1% Voting Intentions All Voters 17 May 2026 CONTINUES ON NEXT PAGE > mt SURVEY maltatoday | WEDNESDAY • 27 MAY 2026