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MT 13 March 2016

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13 maltatoday, SUNDAY, 13 MARCH 2016 MaltaToday Survey According to how respondents voted in 2013 PN voters in 2013 PL voters in 2013 Switchers in 2013 77.8% 5% 2.9% 14.2% 1.7% 86.7% 0.6% 11% Trust Barometer March 2016 All respondents [change over February 2015] 37% (-0.3p) 33.5% (3.7p) 18.9% (2.4p) 10.6% (-5.8p) cat more than Busuttil and would vote PL if an election were held now. Surveys held in 2014 had shown the PN still losing between 5% and 10% of its 2013 vote base to Labour. This suggests that Muscat has lost the power to lure PN voters to his fold. Presently 90% of the PN's 2013 voters would vote PN again (up from 86% last month). But the PN still faces a problem with a seg- ment of its 2013 voters, 6% of whom would not vote in a forthcoming election and 11% of whom trust neither Muscat nor Busuttil. In this sense the PN's hopes on winning the next election hinge on recovering its own disgruntled voters, especially if Labour fails to recover its own disgruntled voters. The survey suggests that the latest events have consolidated Busuttil's position among 2013 voters, 87% of whom trust him more than Muscat. 77% of PN voters in 2008 also trust him more than Muscat (up from 74% last month). While Muscat remains more popular than his own party, Busuttil is just as popular as his own party. This means that the PN has less room to grow than the PL in a presiden- tial contest. The survey shows the Greens increasing their support by half a point, from 0.8% to 1.3%. For the first time since 2008 the green vote is larger than the gap between the two larger parties. Our surveys go deeper SURVEY For more intelligence on this survey and to enquire about pricing, email us now at info@mediatoday.com.mt with subject header 'SURVEY' How trust in the two leaders changed since June 2013 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 Jun-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 Jun-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 First MaltaToday survey after 2013 election European Parliament elections Hunting referendum April Labour launches IIP sale Manuel Mallia dismissed from Cabinet Michael Falzon resigns over Gaffarena inquiry Panamagate breaks 23.4% 26.5% 8.9% 41.2%

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