Issue link: https://maltatoday.uberflip.com/i/949290
8 MaltaToday Survey maltatoday SUNDAY 4 MARCH 2018 Muscat's trust rating shoots back up mt survey THE Labour Party has recovered lost ground over the past month, as sup- port levels returned to the highs wit- nessed last November, a MaltaToday survey has found. Carried out between 26 February and 1 March, the findings show al- most a 24-point gap between the PL and the Nationalist Party. Since the survey published last month, the PL regained almost eight points, while the PN shed three points as it returned to the down- ward spiral. According to the survey, the PL's support currently stands at 49.6% and the PN's at 25.9% with the Dem- ocratic Party registering a perfor- mance of 2.1%. If the results are re-calculated on the basis of declared voting inten- tion by removing those who said they will not vote (11.1%) and those who are not sure (10.6%), the PL could be looking at support levels in the region of 63% and a massive gap of around 90,000 votes on the PN. The survey found that the PL leads comfortably across all regions, scor- ing its highest result in the South Eastern region, where it enjoys the support of 69.3% against the PN's 18.5%. The PL's lowest score is in the Western region at 38.9% but it re- mains miles ahead of the PN, which registered 18.6% of support. The PN's best result is in Gozo at 32.4%, which could be indicative of a healing rift following Adrian De- lia's leadership victory over Gozitan MP Chris Said last September. The PN's worst performance is in the Northern region, where it scores a measly 16.6% against the PL's 46.2%. PD leaves its mark The Democratic Party has for the first time since last October reg- istered a creditable performance, which came at the expense of Alter- nattiva Demokratika. The overall result sees PD obtaining 2.1% support and AD 0.8%. The PD, which elected two MPs in the last election after contesting in coalition with the PN, had its strong- est showings in the Northern Har- bour region (3.2%) and the Western region (3.6%). Both these regions comprise most of the localities that helped elect PD MPs Marlene Farrugia and Godfrey Farrugia. The PD also registered a significant 2.3% in Gozo. It is evident that the PD's rise in the polls came at the expense of AD, which registered its best performance in the Northern Harbour region, ob- taining just 1.6%. Of those who voted AD in the last election, 37.5% said they would vote PD if an election is held tomorrow. Despite contesting the last election in coalition with the PN, the Orange party only managed to attract 2.1% of those who voted PN in the last election. PD's popularity is highest among those aged 18-35, where it registered 3.6%. Methodological note: The survey was conducted between 26 February and 1 March. A total of 501 respondents participated in the survey. Respondents were chosen us- ing stratified random sampling based on age, region and gender. Moreo- ver, multiple imputation by chained equations for missing data or non- answers by respondents was invoked. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.2% for a confidence interval of 95%. ALL PL voter now PN voter now PL 2017 PN 2017 Gozo Northern Northern Harbour South Eastern Southern Harbour Western Trust barometer among different categories of voters MUSCAT DELIA Neither Don't know Labour soars again as gap with PN stands at 24 points ALL PL 2017 PN 2017 Gozo Northern Northern Harbour South Eastern Southern Harbour Western Voting intentions among different categories of voters 52.7% 20.2% 22.1% 91.2% 66.3% 26.7% 92.8% 48.3% 39.1% 29.1% 33.5% 36.5% 46.2% 17.3% 24.9% 52.6% 20.7% 20.5% 72.2% 12.8% 12.5% 51.5% 23.7% 22.4% 54.7% 16.6% 24.2% PL PN PD AD Not voting Don't know 49.6% 25.9% 2.1% 0.8% 11.1% 10.6% 86.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 3.4% 6.4% 13.4% 61.9% 2.1% 0.5% 10.3% 11.7% 41.2% 32.4% 2.3% 0.2% 6.8% 17.1% 46.2% 16.6% 1.19% 0.4% 15.1% 20.5% 48.2% 31.7% 3.23% 1.6% 9.2% 6.2% 69.3% 18.5% 1.27% 0.6% 7.5% 2.9% 49.1% 31.7% 0.83% 0.6% 7.8% 10.0% 38.9% 18.6% 3.6% 0.3% 23.5% 15.1% KURT SANSONE JOSEPH Muscat's trust rating has shot back up to November levels in line with the Labour Party's resurgence, a MaltaTo- day survey shows. In just a month since the last trust ba- rometer, the Prime Minister's rating has gone from 41% to 52.7%. Held last week, the survey may have cap- tured the people's reaction to Muscat's energising speech a fortnight ago when he affirmed his intention to continue leading the PL, at least until the European Parlia- ment election next year. Muscat enjoys a massive 33-point ad- vantage over Opposition leader Adrian Delia despite the Nationalist Party leader's improved performance. At 20.2%, Delia's trust rating increased by almost five points in just a month but this was still not enough to mitigate the Prime Minister's meteoric rise in the polls. Muscat is trusted the most across all regions apart from Gozo, where Delia ob- tains a minor victory. Victories and mishaps Gozo represents Delia's best perfor- mance, registering a trust level of 33.5% against Muscat's 29.1%. This could pos- sible signal the end of hostilities in the sister island between supporters of failed leadership candidate Chris Said and De- lia's backers. But Gozo only represents a pyrrhic vic- tory for Delia as he continues to trail the Prime Minister in all other regions. And the results for the South Eastern region may even suggest that voters are not too keen on Delia's opposition to the development of the American University of Malta's campus at Zonqor Point. The survey published last month had not captured the parliamentary debate held on 8 February on the Op- position's motion to return the land at Zonqor back to the public. In this region, which includes Marsaska- la and Zejtun, Muscat's trust rating soars to 72.2%, comparable to the PL's strong performance. On the flipside, Delia's trust rating reaches its lowest point at 12.8%. However, the PN leader registers his next best performance after Gozo in the Southern Harbour region – traditionally a PL stronghold. In this region, Delia's trust rating stands at 23.7% while Muscat's stands at 51.5%. The Prime Minister remains most trust- ed across all age groups, while Delia's highest trust rating is among the elderly where he registers 32.4%. The results show that Delia has recouped some of the lost territory with PN voters. He now enjoys the trust of 48.3% of voters who voted PN in 2017 and 66.3% of those who declared they will vote PN if an elec- tion is held tomorrow. But significantly, Muscat is trusted more than Delia by 8.9% of 2017 PN voters.