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MALTATODAY 6 March 2022

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8 maltatoday | SUNDAY • 6 MARCH 2022 NEWS ELECTION 2022 Trust Barometer and Political Survey Robert Abela Bernard Grech Neither Don't know 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 43.2% 29.9% 21.5% 5.4% 6 Mar 2022 pp change 27 Feb 2022 Between Robert Abela and Bernard Grech, who do you trust the most? Full demographics comparing trust between Abela and Grech 6-Mar-22 27-Feb-22 6-Feb-22 Overall PL Now PN Now Will not vote now Uncertain New Voter PL 2017 PN 2017 Didn't vote 2017 Male Female 16-35 36-50 51-65 65+ Primary Secondary Post-Sec Tertiary Gozo Northern N Harbour S Eastern S Harbour Western 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 43.2% 29.9% 21.5% 97.1% 90.0% 7.6% 8.9% 78.0% 10.0% 27.4% 12.0% 47.6% 13.1% 34.1% 19.9% 23.6% 22.5% 80.7% 13.1% 67.8% 20.2% 12.7% 14.1% 63.5% 9.7% 46.0% 29.2% 20.6% 40.6% 30.5% 22.3% 6.6% 38.6% 24.7% 28.2% 8.5% 36.8% 25.2% 31.2% 6.8% 50.7% 30.6% 15.0% 47.9% 39.0% 10.8% 53.7% 35.1% 9.3% 50.7% 25.6% 17.8% 43.8% 28.4% 23.6% 30.1% 33.6% 29.3% 6.9% 43.1% 31.0% 15.8% 10.1% 29.7% 35.5% 26.3% 8.5% 39.9% 36.7% 18.1% 55.8% 16.3% 24.1% 56.0% 24.5% 18.4% 36.5% 32.2% 26.1% Robert Abela Bernard Grech None Do not know Which political party would you vote for if an election were to be held tomorrow? 'New Voter' category introduced in this survey KURT SANSONE ROBERT Abela ends the second week of the electoral campaign with a trust rating of 43.2% in MaltaToday's rolling survey, while Bernard Grech trails at 29.9%. The Labour leader is trusted more than the Nationalist leader across all age groups, among men and women, and in all regions bar one. The gap between the leaders stands at 13.3 points. The survey has been building up its sam- ple size on a daily basis, ensuring that daily polling reflects the country's demographics and past voting patterns. By Friday at 8pm, 1,220 people were polled since Monday, 21 February. Abela's trust among men is more pro- nounced than among women. The Prime Minister enjoys the trust of 46% of men as opposed to 40.6% of women. There is little difference between the sexes for the PN leader, who is trusted by 29.2% of men and 30.5% of women. Middle aged propel Abela Across the age groups, Abela enjoys healthy advantages over Grech with his strongest performance at 50.7% being among those aged between 51 and 65. Among young voters aged between 16 and 35, the PL leader has a trust rating of 38.6% as opposed to Grech's 24.7%. However, there are 28.2% of people in this age cohort who trust none of the two leaders. A more distrustful group is the 36-50 age cohort, where 31.2% trust none of the two leaders. Within this group, Abela enjoys a trust rating of 36.8% against Grech's 25.2%. Grech's best performance is among pen- sioners where he scores 39%, albeit still trail- ing Abela, who registers a rating of 47.9%. Abela captures all regions but one On a geographical basis, Grech beats Abela in the Northern region. This region is made up of Għargħur, Mellieħa, Mġarr, Mosta, Naxxar and St Paul's Bay. Grech scores 35.5%, while Abela registers a rating of 29.7%. But elsewhere, the PN lead- er trails Abela with significant margins in the south and east of the country. In the Northern Harbour region, Abela scores 39.9% against Grech's 36.7%, while in the Western region the Prime Minister's trust stands at 36.6% against Grech's 32.2%. In the South-Eastern region, the PL leader scores a trust rating of 55.8%, while Grech registers his worst performance at 16.3%. This region is composed of Żejtun, Birżeb- buġa, Gudja, Għaxaq, Kirkop, Marsaskala, Marsaxlokk, Mqabba, Qrendi, Safi and Żur- rieq, which correspond to the 3rd and 5th electoral districts that are Labour strong- holds. In the Southern Harbour region, Abela scores his best performance at 56% against Grech's 24.5%. This region is made up of Valletta, Vittoriosa, Isla, Bormla, Żabbar, Fgura, Floriana, Kalkara, Luqa, Marsa, Pao- la, St Luċija, Tarxien and Xgħajra. This re- gion largely conforms to the 2nd and 4th electoral districts, which are also Labour strongholds. In Gozo, Abela enjoys the trust of 43.1% against Grech's 31%. Among those who are saying they will vote PL in the 26 March election, Abela enjoys the trust of 97.1%, while Grech enjoys the trust of 90.1% of those who will vote PN. But 7.6% of prospective PN voters say they trust no one as opposed to 1.4% of prospec- tive Labour voters. Methodology The survey is the cumulative data set car- ried out between Monday 21st February 2022 and Friday 4th March 2022. 1220 re- spondents opted to complete the survey. Stratified random sampling based on region, age and gender was used to replicate the Maltese demographic. The estimated mar- gin of error is 2.8% for a confidence interval of 95% for the overall results. Demographic and sub-group breakdowns have significant- ly larger margins of error. Robert Abela in 13-point trust lead over Grech

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