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MALTATODAY 5 June 2022

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11 maltatoday | SUNDAY • 5 JUNE 2022 MALTATODAY SURVEY 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Which political party would you vote for if an election were to be held tomorrow? Overall PL 2022 PN 2022 Didn't vote 2022 Male Female 16-35 36-50 51-65 65+ Primary Secondary Post-Sec Tertiary Gozo Northern N Harbour S Eastern S Harbour Western 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 43.9% 28.8% 11.4% 11.2% 91.8% 81.7% 11.0% 8.0% 28.6% 51.3% 42.7% 26.3% 12.8% 12.6% 45.5% 32.0% 9.5% 9.4% 39.1% 21.3% 12.8% 19.6% 39.6% 22.5% 19.6% 11.2% 46.9% 34.8% 10.7% 49.5% 36.4% 7.7% 62.7% 25.6% 6.9% 57.5% 24.5% 9.2% 6.7% 39.7% 21.8% 16.8% 12.6% 23.2% 39.5% 12.3% 19.0% 51.2% 9.8% 27.0% 28.5% 44.9% 6.9% 14.0% 39.6% 42.4% 9.6% 41.6% 25.5% 16.9% 10.0% 58.2% 19.1% 12.6% 8.7% 54.3% 20.1% 16.9% PL PN ADPD Small parties Do not know Will not Vote -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 15-Mar-20 12-Apr-20 24-May-20 21-Jun-20 19-Jul-20 6-Sep-20 11-Oct-20 9-Nov-20 6-Dec-20 9-Jan-21 7-Feb-21 7-Mar-21 11-Apr-21 9-May-21 6-Jun-21 11-Jul-21 5-Sep-21 10-Oct-21 7-Nov-21 5-Dec-21 16-Jan-22 6-Feb-22 27-Feb-22 6-Mar-22 13-Mar-22 20-Mar-22 5-Jun-22 46.0% 49.1% 51.9% 47.8% 45.1% 40.3% 44.2% 39.2% 41.8% 44.8% 43.3% 44.1% 36.2% 38.0% 43.9% 23.3% 23.5% 30.0% 30.3% 33.6% 32.6% 35.6% 29.3% 32.4% 27.3% 31.9% 28.6% 32.4% 29.8% 28.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 2.8% 0 0 0 1.1% 0.4% 0.6% 14.1% 14.5% 6.6% 13.9% 9.2% 13.5% 9.9% 17.3% 13.9% 19.1% 20.5% 18.4% 7.2% 10.3% 18.2% 20.3% 13.8% 13.3% 8.1% 12.3% 7.9% 11.2% PL PN ADPD Small Parties Far-right Don't know Not Voting Historical voting polls KURT SANSONE THE Labour Party enjoys a 15-point lead over the National- ist Party in the first MaltaToday survey since the March general election. The PL enjoys the support of 43.9%, while the PN trails at 28.8%. ADPD has the support of 2.8%, while other parties clock in at 0.6%. The PL trumps the PN among men and women, across all age groups, and in four of the six re- gions. The PN posts dismal results in Gozo and the Western region. The survey sees the PN register- ing 9.8% in Gozo and zero sup- port in the Western region. These numbers must be inter- preted with caution since mar- gins of error are much higher in these subgroups. It is unlike- ly the PN has no support in the Western region but it could be too low to be picked up by the survey. This region sees the PL enjoy the support of 54.3% but it is also the one with 20.1% who are unsure and 16.9% who will not vote. In Gozo, 27% say they will not vote, while 51.2% support the PL. The numbers suggest a col- lapse for the PN in Gozo and the Western region since the elec- tion. The PN wins in the Northern and Northern Harbour regions where it enjoys the support of 44.9% and 42.4% respectively. The PL's best performance is in the Southern Harbour where it hits 58.2%. Among young voters, the PL scores 39.1% against the PN's 21.3%. The PL's best perfor- mance is among pensioners where support reaches 49.5%. This category is also the one where the PN posts its best re- sult at 36.4%. The PL has a retention rate of 91.8% from the 2022 election, while the PN has a retention rate of 81.7%. However, 1.1% of PL voters now say they will vote PN, while there is no shift in the op- posite direction. But this move- ment towards the PN is neu- tralised by 5.6% of voters who supported the PN last March, who say they will not vote and 11% who are unsure what to do if an election is held tomorrow. Labour has 15-point lead two months after election victory PL enjoys the support of 43.9%, while the PN trails at 28.8%. ADPD has the support of 2.8%, while other parties clock in at 0.6% These numbers must be interpreted with caution since margins of error are much higher in these subgroups. It is unlikely the PN has no support in the Western region but it could be too low to be picked up by the survey.

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