Issue link: https://maltatoday.uberflip.com/i/1544987
voters (80.3%) than the PN (78.5%). A shift from PL to the PN But the survey also confirms a small but significant shift from the PL to the PN, which explains the reduced gap be- tween the two parties when compared to the 39,000-vote super majority in 2022. The current scenario indicates that the gap between the two major parties can range be- tween 15,500 votes and 23,700 votes d e p e n d i n g on the sta- tistical model used. The key factor behind the reduced gap is a shift of 6% of PL vot- ers in 2022 (over 9,700) to the PN when compared to 3.3% of PN voters (over 4,000 votes), who are now voting Labour. This means a net shift of around 5,700 votes from the PL to the PN. Also contributing to the re- duced gap is the PN re- covering 16.7% of non-voters in 2022 (8,500 v o t e s ) . Both par- ties lose a similar n u m b e r of votes to third p a r t i e s but none of these shifts are enough to reverse Labour's comfortable lead over the PN. Southeast is red, Gozo is blue The PL has consolidated its dominance in the South-east- ern region, where its support has increased from 44.5% in March to 53.5% now. In this re- gion the PN trails far behind at just 24.4%. This region includes a number of Labour strongholds including Żejtun, Żurrieq and Birżeb- buġa. But the Labour Par- ty is facing some problems in the South Harbour area, which in- cludes the Cotton- era. Compared to March the party has lost three points, even if it remains dominant with 46.3% compared to the PN's 33%. Labour also manages to make inroads in central Mal- ta with the party enjoying an 8-point lead over the PN in the North Harbour re- gion, which includes a mix of localities ranging from La- bour-leaning Qormi to PN strongholds like Sliema and more balanced lo- calities like Birkirkara. In con- trast, the PN is now leading by six points in the Northern region (which includes St Paul's Bay and Mosta) and by 10 points in the Western region, which includes Rabat, Siġġiewi, Dingli and Attard. But the PN's most coveted prize remains Gozo where the party has an 11.6-point mt SURVEY SUNDAY • 17 MAY 2026 | maltatoday THE ALL-NEW B10 STARTING FROM €20,900* (*2025 GOVERNMENT GRANTS AND SCRAPPAGE SCHEME INCLUDED. TERMS AND CONDITIONS APPLY). Small shift from PL to PN, Age Gender Region Education 2022 Voters 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0 16-35 36-50 51-65 65+ 35.6% 32.4% 6.7% 25.3% 35.2% 31.7% 5.1% 27.9% 40.6% 31.8% 4.7% 22.9% 43.8% 38.8% 2.3% 15% PL PN Others Will not vote Age 120% 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0 16-35 36-50 51-65 65+ 41.7% 34.6% 23.7% 40% 35.5% 24.5% 46% 33.9% 20.1% 46.7% 40.7% 12.6% Trust Barometer Robert Abela Alex Borg None 0 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 43.5% 36.4% 20.1% All Voters PL 50.1% Others 6.1% PN 43.8% Age Gender Region Education 2022 Voters 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0 Primary Secondary Post-secondary Tertiary 46.4% 35.1% 2.2% 16.3% 43.7% 30.3% 3.1% 22.9% 43.8% 34% 4.3% 17.9% 25.1% 38.6% 8.1% 28.2% PL PN Other Will not Vote Age 120% 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 46.7% Voting Intentions Trust Barometer All Voters Robert Abela Alex Borg None 0 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 43.5% 36.4% 20.1% All Voters March 2026 Voting intention based on age Voting intention based on education < FROM PREVIOUS PAGE PL 50.1% Others 6.1% PN 43.8% Age Gender Region Education 2022 Voters 100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0 PL 2022 PN 2022 No vote 2022 80.3% 6% 2.5% 11.3% 3.3% 78.5% 3.3% 15% 8.1% 16.7% 6.4% 68.8% PL PN Others Will not vote Voting Intentions Trust Barometer All Voters Robert Abela Alex Borg 43.5% 36.4% March 2026 Intention of people who voted in the 2022 election