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maltatoday, THURSDAY, 1 JUNE 2017 11 MaltaToday Survey PN voters 2013 PL voters 2013 Switchers Non-voters New voters PN voters 2008 PL voters 2008 PL PN AD PD Patriots Not voting Don't know No reply 4% 84.9% 39.5% 11.8% 48% 9% 93% 87.6% 5.8% 30.2% 41.2% 30.2% 79.3% 3.5% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.4% 0.7% 2.3% 2.9% 0 0.3% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.4% 4.7% 14.7% 0 1.2% 1.1% 7.7% 6.5% 23.3% 23.5% 13.9% 10.2% 2.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0 5.9% 7.9% 0 0 PL PN Don't know No reply Not voting [PD] AD Patriots Jan-15 Mar-15 Jun-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Mar-17 Apr-30-2017 May-07-2017 May-14-2017 May-21-2017 May-28-2017 Jun-1-2017 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Voting intentions since January 2015 PANAMA PAPERS Present voting intentions swer this question or who claimed they are undecided. Significantly 6.8% of 2013 PL vot- ers trust Busuttil more than Mus- cat. But 4.8% of 2013 PN voters trust Muscat more than Busuttil. This sug- gests that both leaders have managed to appeal beyond the boundaries of their respective 2013 cohorts. In this week 's survey, 3.5% of PL voters in the 2008 general election trust the PN leader more than Mus- cat. This confirms Busuttil's ability to inspire trust among traditional La- bour voters who had voted for Labour when it was still led by Alfred Sant. PL leads by 5 points As regards voting intentions the survey shows the PN losing 1.4 points and the PL losing 0.7 points. This is corresponded by a 3-point increase in respondents who either claim to be undecided or who preferred not to re- ply. This suggests that PN voters were more reluctant than Labour voters to declare their vote a few days before the election. The survey confirms inroads made by the PN among Labour voters in the last election. The percentage of PL voters shifting to the PN has in- creased slightly from 5.7% two weeks ago to 6.3% last week and to 6.8% now. But the percentage of PL voters shifting to the PN has also increased from 3.3% to 4%. This suggests that the PN has not blocked the haemorrhage of votes to the PL and that Muscat is still appeal- ing to a category of PN voters in 2013. This is a clear indication that a seg- ment that voted for Lawrence Gonzi's party in 2013 may have warmed up to Labour in government. But in this survey the PN also makes greater inroads among the PL's 2008 voters. While two weeks ago only 1.3% of PL voters in 2008 said they would vote PN, the percentage rises to 3.5%. Muscat 3 points more popular than his party The survey shows both Muscat and Busuttil being more popular than their respective party. But while Muscat is 3 points more popular than his party, Busuttil is 1 point more popular. This indicates that Labour may have some more space for growth among that category of electors who prefer Muscat or Busuttil, but who are not committed with regard to voting in- tentions. Methodology The survey was held between 29 May and 31 May. The results were weighed to ref lect the age and gender balance of the population as shown in the census of the population. The survey, which was based on a random sample chosen from online phone directories, was stopped when 750 phone calls were completed. A total of approxi- mately 1,600 contacts were made to achieve this quota. The survey has a margin of error of +/-3.7 points.

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